Saturday, December 13, 2008

You get by with a Little Help from your Friend at SUS: Giant's % chance of securing 1st round bye this weekend revealed!!! I think?


http://football.about.com/od/nationalfootballleague/a/playoffscenario.htm

But for any of you who need help figuring out how likely any scenario is and/or don't remember how to calculate probabilities (you add or combinations and multiply and combinations) here is my Giants playoff scenario crib sheet.

Giants clinch 1st round bye with (percentages based on gambling odds for each game {big on sports.com}

(1) Win- Chances of this happening 47%

OR ANY 1 OF THE following three things happen

(2) Minnesota Loss or tie AND Atlanta Loss or Tie- chances of this happening

(a) Minnesota Loss-53 % X (b) Atlanta Loss- 47%= 25%

(3) Minnesota Loss or tie AND Carolina Win or tie

(a) Minnesota Loss- 53% X (b) Carolina win- 55%= 29%

(4) Minnesota-Arizona tie game- 0.5%?

So here is the formula as I, a non-certified Math tutor and psychology doctoral student, ( a field that only uses math when it absolutely has to) sees it.

Giants chance of winning + most likely of other three scenarios

Therefore, Giants chance of clinching bye this weekend is 47% (own chance of winning ) + 29% (most likely of other three scenarios). SO THE GIANTS HAVE A 76% CHANCE OF CLINCHING A BYE THIS WEEKEND! sweeeeeeeeeeeet

Hateful and scathing comments from MIT and Cal Tech students/alumni encouraged:)

1 comment:

devo said...

Repeat after me:

IT ALL COMES DOWN TO GIANTS/PANTHERS.

IT ALL COMES DOWN TO GIANTS/PANTHERS.

IT ALL COMES DOWN TO GIANTS/PANTHERS.

Thank you, and have a good day.

-Devo.